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The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 98.6%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 1.4%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 98.6%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 79.9%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 19%.Brazil will auction a foreign exchange credit line of up to $4 billion on December 12th.The situation in Syria has turned around? The airport in Damascus will be reopened after lifting the curfew. On the 11th local time, the Syrian "Sharm Liberation Organization" announced the lifting of the curfew in the capital Damascus since the 8th, and called on the Syrian people to return to work. On the same day, the person in charge of Damascus International Airport said that the airport will be reopened in "the next few days" and flights can be resumed quickly. (CCTV News)

Japanese enterprise survey: Enterprises believe that Trump's next presidential term will have a negative impact on the business environment, and 60% of Japanese enterprises expect that the trading range of USD/JPY will be between 140 and 150 by 2025. Half of Japanese companies expect higher profits in the next fiscal year.The Jehad delegation will discuss the exchange of detainees with Israel. On the night of 11th local time, the Palestinian Islamic Jihad (Jehad) said that the delegation including its Secretary-General Zeyad Nahara had arrived in Cairo. The delegation will discuss the latest progress of the agreement on the exchange of detainees with Israel and the ways to provide assistance to the Gaza Strip.The Iraqi Foreign Minister talked with the French Foreign Minister to discuss the situation in Syria and combat extremism. On December 11th, local time, Iraqi Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Fuad Hussein talked with French Foreign Minister Barrow. During the call, the two sides agreed that the extremist organization "Islamic State" should be prevented from rebuilding its power. At the same time, the two countries should continue to carry out joint anti-terrorism operations in Syria and Iraq and continue to maintain cooperation in strengthening regional security and stability. The two foreign ministers discussed the security, military and political situation in Syria, and discussed the impact of the Syrian situation on Iraq and the region. The two sides stressed the need to promote the comprehensive political settlement of the Syrian issue led by the United Nations, ensure the full participation of all ethnic groups in Syria and safeguard their rights. The two sides agreed that in addition to communication with relevant countries and Syria's neighbors (including Turkey, Jordan, Lebanon and other Arab countries), Iraq and France should also continue bilateral coordination.

Standard & Poor's: It is expected that the rise of trade protectionism in major economies will damage the GDP growth of most emerging markets, but the impact will depend on specific policies. Central banks in emerging markets are expected to take a more cautious stance, but monetary easing will continue.In November, LP, a financial institution, injected nearly 30 billion yuan into private equity funds. Judging from the latest capital contribution of private equity funds, the reporter learned from Zhizhong Data Technology (Suzhou) Co., Ltd. that in November, the national private equity funds invested 486 pens, with a total capital contribution of 99.761 billion yuan. Judging from the contribution of LP (Limited Partner) with different identities, in November, government funds LP made a total of 178 contributions, with a total contribution of 39.9 billion yuan, accounting for 40%. LP, the industrial investor, contributed a total of 175 transactions, with a total investment of 13 billion yuan. The financial institution LP contributed a total of 29.948 billion yuan, of which the insurance institution LP contributed 16.488 billion yuan, accounting for 55%; Banking institution LP contributed 12.259 billion yuan, accounting for 41%. (Securities Daily)Israeli air strikes in southern Lebanon killed five people. On the 11th, Lebanese health authorities said that Israeli air strikes in southern Lebanon that day had caused five deaths. On the same day, the Lebanese military issued a statement saying that a fierce exchange of fire was observed between the Israeli army and Hezbollah in southern Lebanon near the temporary border between Lebanon and Israel. In this regard, the Israeli army and Hezbollah have not responded for the time being.